trade deficit

Trump’s America: WAR, Trade Death, & Agriculture Bankruptcies

Posted on by Helena

China has rolled out Tariff free market exchange across 53 African nations.  Just as taxing millionaires simply makes them move, Africa was roiling from Trump’s Tariffs which hit South Africa to the tune of 30%.  China steps in and America loses.  Trump keeps handing China the gauntlet of trade and prosperity while sending American troops to WAR and farmers into bankruptcy.    

The US Agriculture Center is under stress as costs increase and commodity prices crash.  The main export crops include Soy, Wheat and Corn.  The main importer?  China.  Trump’s solution?  Use more glyphosate and he’ll remove cancer liability issues through force.  China’s solution?  Find trade elsewhere;  Sub-Sahara Africa is a major producer of corn. Ethiopia is the newest wheat capital.  And South Africa is now leading in production of Soybeans.  Not only will pricing beat out American Farmers, but shipping will also be considerably less.  For China – a win/win!

Trump’s secondary solution?  Give farmers Taxpayer subsidies.  Now they can grow nothing for nobody.  From which pocket will the subsidies originate?  Under President Trump, the US debt is now growing at a staggering $6 billion – per day!  Trump just pledged $10 billion to Gaza and another $10 billion to Israel. 

Farm bankruptcies were up 46% in 2025 shutting down 315 family farms.  Who got the money?  Not farmers, but Israel, the subsidized nation paid for by American Taxpayers.  Farm loans increased dramatically as farmers sought to stay afloat amidst a tariff nightmare reaching into the $350 billion range.

The US trade deficit in goods widened to $1.24 Trillion.  While the trade with China dropped significantly, the deficit rose via Taiwan, Mexico and Vietnam.  Overall the deficit remained unchanged despite Trump’s Big Beautiful Tariffs.  In an unprecedented off the script speech, Trump announced he’ll give away the tariff money he has collected, which he claims is $18 trillion, to a few lower income taxpayers, use some for more powerful weapons like his son’s drone company, and the rest will pay down the debt.

But there is no $18 trillion.  The actual additional revenue is roughly $194 billion. Roughly 1%.  China leads paying the most in Tariff revenue followed by Mexico, Canada, India, Japan and Germany.  Canada is Trump’s newest pariah and will soon shift their economy toward China.  India has already shifted  toward Russia and China.  And Germany doesn’t seem to have a clear direction anywhere except Ukraine – pledging money, troops, weapons, etc… while citizens can’t afford to heat their homes.

Adding to the fray of abject economic failures, despite Trump’s claims that he reduced the federal government, initiated DOGE fraud eliminations, and made money on Tariffs, the DUS Debt has risen nearly $3 trillion.   The actual number of unemployed persons is 14.3 million.  164 million people in the workforce, including 28.7 million part-time workers, are supporting 24 million government workers and countless sub-contractors all getting paid more than the 95% of average workers.  Thus WAR is the only option to completely unravel a failed Empire. The age of conscription is 18-25.  An entire generation that will create a new Dark Ages.

Today, speaking at the first meeting of the Board of Peace, Trump announced Iran has ten days to comply with Washington’s demands or suffer the consequences, ie WAR.  Given Trump’s previous negotiations with Iran were superimposed with strikes, it is more likely the ten day period will last a fraction of that.  How many will die for peace?  Will troops honor Hegseth’s death strategy?  Will Congress be able to intervene?  Will Russia or China react?

Regime Change is a CIA/NED intel operation.  IF Trump anticipates turning the Iran’s power off as he did in order to capture Maduro, the most significant difference is Iran has Hypersonics which do not require a power grid to operate.  Nicknamed the ‘Discombobulator’  contrary to Trump’s assessment, rockets and missiles also do not require a power grip to be operational.  Instead they operate via batteries or onboard gas generators.  A Maduro 2 would likely NOT happen. However, Jesse Canchola at Medium.com discusses The Discombobulator in more detail –

Thus, ‘freeing’ the Iranians would mean murdering a large number in a nondeclared air and boots on the ground war.  With Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Oman hosting US Bases, they are reticent to allow airstrikes from these bases given the obvious repercussions.  The UK has also denied access.  Leaving just Israel and battle ship carriers in the gulf as the sole offensive.  The War thus becomes a remake of the 1950’s movie Rebel Without A Cause and the game of ‘Chicken’. 

WHO WILL STRIKE FIRST?

ECONOMISTS: Like Big Pharma – No CURE Blowhards

Posted on by Helena

While US factories began relocating to Mexico as far back as the 1960’s, it was in 1994 when NAFTA facilitated further moves.  The reasons were primarily low cost labor and lax environmental regulations which boosted profits.  By 2010, 1/3 of all US manufacturing had  disappeared leaving huge employment gaps to the tune of 6 million job losses and contributing to the 2008 Recession.  By 2015, the US trade deficit in manufacturing hit a whopping $832 BILLION.

To make matters worse, the manufacturing sector of both Japan and Germany post WWII was propped up US Taxpayers via the Marshall Plan.  Furthering the shift, R&D money given to Universities was spent mostly on Big Pharma instead of innovation, leaving the US behind as China sprung forward.  And the final gasp came when financial institutions pushed for outsourcing to better the bottom line and move away from vertically integrated companies. 

Like social credit or DEI – if companies didn’t tow the mandate, they lost contracts and funding opportunities.   Banks Ruled.  Tipping the scales of manufacturing into the abyss.  Making America dependent on the whims of import duties imposed by EU countries, China, Japan, and the South Asian countries.    

It was Apple’s success in its business model wherein all manufacturing was done in China that prompted a slew of US manufacturers to abandon America for greener pastures and higher profits – which translated into CEO pockets bulging with cash. 

Where did China get it’s R&D?   From Israel mostly.  In the 1980’s Israel sold technology to upgrade Chinese tanks, planes, radar, missiles, navigation systems, and unmanned aerial vehicle technology.   Why would Israel want to compromise America?  CIA Director, James Woolsey brought the claim to Congress in 1993 claiming it had been ongoing for a decade and at the time amounted to multiple BILLIONS. 

In fact, the alliance between Israel and China has grown so strong that US aid to Israel is no longer necessary and China supports Israel’s right to Palestinian genocide.  In other words, Israel bought China’s allegiance by undermining US military secrets. 

The classic elite naysayers have come out in full manic panic over Trump’s Tariffs, ignoring the fact that over 100 countries have now come to the negotiating table.  Not one of the naysayers has a solution, they simply promote their ‘expert voice’ to deride, complain, and hack the Trump agenda.  The gob-speak has become something akin to liberal vaccine rhetoric!  Ignore facts!  Provide no alternatives.  Just Scream the loudest. 

Nothing about the debt and the interest obligation, nothing about the deficit spending, nothing about manufacturing, R&D, or massive government waste…  Pool’s of supposed Economic PhD’s pushing – you can’t,  it won’t, impossible, bad, really bad, until the sound of their voices in unison sound like a Squad Parade of Fools & Jesters.   These same jesters working at various neo-NGO’s who have been backstabbing China for a decade are onboard China’s trade deficit simply to deride Trump…

When I was a University student, Economists were considered one of the joke professions.  They make no contribution to society.  Their predictions are routinely false.  And betting against their advice was the only way to profit.  Adding a PhD to their stable of degrees only seems to make them a bigger jackass. 

Economic analysts at Goldman Sachs in January 2021:  “lockdowns will hit the economy, but not too hard.”  Lockdowns destroyed the economy.  After the “Pandemic” – The Tragedy of Economist Apologists…  Then there is this lovely tidbit:  Economists agree that inflation is caused by an increase in the money supply.  Reality.  Government spending causes inflation.  Government expansion causes over-spending.  Printing money for deficit spending by the Government – causes inflation. 

Economists are like Big Pharma – they cure nothing.  The world would not miss them should this career become obsolete.  Most become anti-matter writers for pundit magazines and liberal media because their worth is $-0-.   Their largest employer?  The Federal Government.

US INCOME INEQUALITY: How we got here and how we can change

Posted on by Helena

If we knew what causes income inequality peaks, could we change it?  

As history reveals, Income Inequality is cyclical. The current peak began in 1970 and there would seem to be little in the stratosphere to bridge that from continuing unabated.

Historically, between 1850 and 1950 the income equality among all peoples of the US, UK and Netherlands stabilized.   But across the board after WWII, those numbers spiked and continued a straight upward trajectory.   Economists vary somewhat on the current causes of the spike, but a few make logical sense:

  1. Globalization. Globalization meant increased trade, meant cheaper goods from China, meant labour in the US could not compete, meant labour caved and created a ridge of zero growth for an entire working class sector. It wasn’t labour unions, it was competition.   It was the beginning of the end for small mom and pop stores as big money swirled in and created the mega markets replete with cheap Chinese products.   One stop shop – save time – buy more – charge it!  Of course free trade wasn’t actually ‘free’ – tariffs were imposed over every market and those tariffs were not equal, hence trade imbalance began simultaneously. Despite being advised to not lower tariff’s, Reagan did anyway, no other country followed suit, and the US deficit spiraled out of control while China and the EU laughed.

And over the course of 50 years, not one president was willing to fix trade to make it truly ‘free’ – as in no tariffs.   Trump offered zero tariff trade with Germany, the EU, Canada, and Mexico – the EU and Germany declined.

  1. Technology Revolution.   While no one wants to sensor technology or squelch it, it has vast ramifications on income and labor and it can take a generation or more to catch up.   It creates bubbles of wealth for people that have no real philanthropic bent other than to funnel their wealth into tax avoidance foundations. Technology advancement also alienates a class of people who don’t have the ability or wherewithal to create an entirely new career or expertise. As such, they move ‘down’ the ladder.
  2. Education.   In Europe it is accepted that not everyone attends college, in fact the percentage is relatively small.   The US proposes that everyone is ‘entitled’ to a college degree because that enables them to make more money…   Really?   A degree in Art, or Language, of Philosophy, or Communications is really a non-degree and yet they are the most prolific.   While Germany has the right idea, they make it a communist dictatorial determination instead of a choice.   Germany stresses specific technology or trade certifications in lieu of college.   The stigma of not being a college graduate is mitigated, and a specialized trade is facilitated. The number of college graduates in Germany is roughly 20%, compared to the US rate of 34%. But what happens after graduating is more important.   And that is where a middle class is created.
  1. Taxes.   A touchy subject to be sure but when the 1%ers are paying the same rate after deductions as the average household, obviously this is not a true progressive system – and is likely meaningless with the exception of those on the cusp of moderately higher incomes being squeezed.

How do you keep the billionaires in the US if the Tax Man is going to up the ante?

Technically speaking, despite the US calling itself a Republic, it truly is a Monarchy with totalitarian bits and pieces.   The billionaires are the monarchs, and everyone else, the peasants, are left to scramble in order to eek a living.   In the US we’ve simply eliminated the terminology and replaced it with alternate terms that effect the same result – Monarchial rule.

The Bolsheviks assassinated the Tzar of Russia and his entire family because according to socialist history books, the peasants claimed an uprising due to wealth inequality.   But the Bolsheviks simply instituted their own version of Monarchial rule under the guise of Communism, the faces of the rulers changed, and money shifted hands.

This ‘shift’ is what the Socialists in the US are hedging for in order to make the Marxist totalitarian state – complete.  This is our fight!

Billionaires have two obvious qualities:  ; 1. They like to spend money on lavish things that only they can afford and, 2. They like power.

So if you are going to keep your billionaires you have to be willing to concede either power or taxes.  Painful.

Ultimately, today,  in order to reduce income inequality one measure that Trump is vehemently pursuing is scaling back tariff differentials. Another is Sovereign sustainability.

While taxes were an initial consideration, the US system is so convoluted at this point it is near impossible to scrap the entire tax structure and recreate a true progressive flat tax – unless by EO.

When Trump is re-elected, Education could be the next transformation.   Reducing federal funding of universities and redirecting that funding toward technical and trade schooling would not only eliminate the socialist indoctrination, it would secure a greater number of students toward an attainable job market sophistication. Ultimately lifting the whiners out of media attention and forcing universities to rethink their curriculum methodology and their current superfluous degree programs.

Because today, in America, you can have a bachelors degree, $150,000 student debt, and be qualified to work as a hamburger flipper.

Like Climate Change, history reveals valuable insight.  Sometimes it is necessary to research a bit more aggressively – instead of simply trying to find the history that fits an agenda.   Putting the pieces together means Trump cannot accomplish this alone.  It means redirecting all the hate filled memes and  criticism toward a viable solution.   And then, there is TRUTH.

Trump’s China Trade War – The Facts

Posted on by Helena

The Federal Reserve and the World Bank at the behest of a handful of economists who are decidedly left leaning have published two scathing reports which claim that Trump’s trade war with China is costing US taxpayers upwards of $68 billion annually.

Of course the statements are biased. Of course they represent an agenda and potential fodder. If they are true.

Economists are an interesting breed. They sit in glass houses and create a conclusion without seeming to have a basic understanding of real world business and tend to adamantly disagree with each other on a broader scale while presenting a portion of the facts.

Somewhat like the climate change fiasco.

Trades are business contracts. They may be executed as a one-time transaction, transactions that occur over a series of months, and often are transactions that are locked years.   They take time to execute. Terms are pre-determined. Terms are re-negotiated.

These ‘Economists’ have made a determination based on data that is virtually impossible to track. In addition, their supposition ‘estimates’ an annual cost. But even that is wholly unreliable because the Tariffs were imposed over the course of several months in 2018, with intellectual property, aluminum and steel at the forefront.   They effectively began in July and phased in over a number of months.

China’s “implemented and ‘proposed’ tariffs” would affect $110 billion of imports. That does not mean the US exports stop. It means they will be levied a tariff which will effect the profit margin.

The economist’s reports both extrapolate the outcome as an annual loss. A year has not yet occurred.   In fact, there is only two months of trade numbers in 2019 to analyze. Certainly one can extrapolate based on previous data… right? Yes and no.

It is like a poll wherein a random sample of 1000 Democrats all residing in New York are sampled and the results will determine the US Presidential election…

Example:   During Obama’s reign trade data is available on a monthly basis.   At the end of 2008 when Obama came into office, the US trade deficit with China was roughly $268 billion.   By the end of 2016 when Obama left office, it was $347 billion. Before any tariffs had any measurable impact, by the end of 2017 the deficit had climbed to $375 billion.

This ‘non-important’ deficit has climbed every single year since it began in 1986. Since 2000, it has quadrupled. And not one sitting President did a damn thing.

Suddenly, with two measurable months of data available for 2019, the media is calling Trump’s trade war a calamity.

In actuality, the value of imports for January and February of 2019 were down 10% and 20% respectively compared to the previous year – before any tariffs were imposed.

Lets look at another trading partner – Germany.

When Obama came into power that deficit was roughly $28 billion. By the time Obama left office that deficit had spiked to nearly $65 billion. It torched at $68 billion by the end of 2018, well before Trump’s tariffs took effect. The first two months of 2019, the deficit had lowered nearly 10%.

Even in the world of an Economist, 2 months is clearly not enough of a data set to make any conclusion or opinion.   And yet they do. Why?

Obviously it is an attempt to discredit Trump and provide fodder for Democrats who are bent on finding fodder because they are frustrated with the incorrigible corruption, instead of truth.

What this also reveals is the larger picture in which both the US Federal Reserve and the World Bank are colluding in this massive demonization of all things Trump.     It also reveals that these institutions have provided absolutely no guidance or stipulations or concern for the annual increase in US trade deficit for the last 30 years.

Which technically is a reflection on their incompetence. Economic Policy is their mainstay. Their existence. So obviously they did not have the US in their sights for at least 30 years.

Why?
1) According to it’s own website, the World Bank’s field of study is on ‘Developing Countries’.   So why did they commission a report on Trump’s China trade – two well developed countries outside of the scope of their jurisdiction?

2) The second part of these reports claims that US agriculture farms have been hit hard by Trump’s tariffs.   But the agriculture business isn’t the mom and pop farm of a hundred years ago. Mainstream media have been sounding the alarm on the changing face of farms for a decade or two.

Statistics: Most small farms are ‘hobby farms’.   Tax incentives during the Bush and Obama years gave wealthy elites the ability to classify their compound acreage in the middle of such places as Long Island and the Hamptons as farmland, take a tax benefit, and produce enough to feed a cat.

Secondly, ‘large farms make up less than 4% of all farms and account for more than 66% of all sales. And that number continues to edge higher.   They are corporate farms.

And third, the Federal government continues to subsidize small farms up to $20 billion annually.

The value of agricultural exports to China is roughly $23 billion, which represents about 5% of all production in US.

It isn’t just the US Swamp that is fearful of Trump. It is The Swamps that exist globally.   He has turned their power off. He has broken the rules. He does not recognize their structure. And he wants to fix the chaos that they have so dedicatedly created for well over a hundred years.

Certainly there have been a few anomalies in the US; Kennedy, surely. But his fate and that of his brother reveal how determined the International Swamp is to maintain their brotherhood as is.

Lastly, the Federal Reserve Bank:   What is their job? Primarily – to address ‘banking panics’. Secondarily to manage money supply.   In 2012 when Obamanomics was considered an economic catastrophe the response of the Federal Reserve was not to commission economist papers, but to ‘do something’ to leverage that catastrophe. They have no business commissioning reports – outside of their Banking duties.

Trump recently threatened to take down the Federal Reserve; his animosity for that corrupt regime has been no secret.

The Enemy of my Enemy is My Friend.

Trump has been in office two+ years. He has fought for The People while being verbally attacked, legally attacked, his family in jeopardy, his life threated, and still he rose for us.  They are – running scared.

CHINA Trade War – Unraveled

Posted on by Helena

Communist China – is telling the EU to come together and work against the US in the trade war that is rapidly escalating…   Germany now wants to be acting mediator to resolve the conflict on behalf of China and the US.   And while Germany appears to agree that China has had an unfair advantage for years – and everyone was afraid to do anything – they still negotiate from a position of fear, instead of rationale.  Which is why we are in this situation to begin with.

It’s like playing Chess without a Queen or King…  what’s the point?

The deficit trade with China has been ignored for decades and now we have a President willing to narrow that gap, but the EU is still curled up in a ball of fear and ‘what ifs’.

It is a bizarre mentality that is willing to continually erode trade out of fear of retaliation when the continued spiral will only grow steadily until China is the wealthiest country – and global control has been attained.  It is the race between the ‘tortoise and the hare’.   In the end, if the EU was a bit more observant they might see that a positive result could occur wherein trade between the US and the EU could heighten leaving China on the outside…   In other words, trade would simply ‘shift’.

The US is not alone in its trade deficit with China.  The EU deficit is also a significant number hitting over $175 billion in 2016 comprised mostly of ‘industrial products including machinery, transport and appliances.  Exports have tripled since 2006 rising from roughly 60 billion to 160 billion, while imports have risen from about 195 billion to 350 billion.   Trade with the US is considerably more with the US exporting valued at $501 billion and imports at $592 billion.  The EU thus has a surplus with the US of roughly $92 billion.

Seems a rather logical conclusion that trade with the US is much more valuable than China.  Trade with the US could grow to cover any deficiencies with China, and everyone would be happy… except China.

While the US and China trade with the EU are overall relatively neck-and-neck, the US provides a surplus.  The question remains, do you, the EU, support a Communist state or a Democratic state?

China is the largest export economy in the world generating a $736 billion surplus.   Its main exports include:  computers, broadcasting equipment, telephones, circuits and light fixtures.   Top imports are:  circuits, oil, gold and iron ore.   The US is its largest export partner and Hong Kong is its largest import partner.

From a purely business standpoint, the numbers put China on the defensive.

The argument is the fact that China holds the key in their ownership of US Treasuries which currently stands at roughly 7% of total US debt.   What is not so widely discussed is the fact that during the Obama administration, China quietly divested 97% of its US holdings.  Of the $14,34 trillion of US government debt, $4,64 trillion was intragovernmental, meaning that the government borrows from one pocket to give to another pocket. Sort of the classic Ponzi Scheme we put people in jail for.

A shell game of ‘guess where the money  is’ is how the government has routinely claimed that Social Security is funded – albeit by ‘debt’.  Debt for which there is no return because we continue to operate at a deficit in trade and spending!

Because that’s the game of how to destroy the US and gain global power.

So what Trump is doing is trying to unravel that absolute destructive mess decades of corrupt Presidents have created at the behest of the global elite.   And it won’t be fun, and it won’t be pretty, and sometimes it will hurt, but from an economic standpoint it is the ONLY solution.  

Macron Trade Deal Bust?

Posted on by Helena

Macron is trying to eek out a new trade relationship with India claiming that the exodus of the UK means France will be the winner of the EU. But apparently he forgot to ask Merkel, because behind the UK at $8.6 billion, Germany ranks second at $7.2 billion in 2016 for the EU.   In addition, the UK provides a huge surplus of trade to India which I imagine they will not want to put at risk.   By contrast, China represents their biggest deficit at $51.6 billion.   The largest export items from China to India include: electronic equipment, machinery, furniture, and apparel.  

Problem? Is France even competitive?

India has been ramping up its nuclear program recently, including a push to build 10 new reactors with its inked partner – Russia. Macron is beeming after a handshake to expedite the construction of one nuclear facility in Jaitpur, which is situated on a seismic zone… Oops!  Villagers are not too happy about being forced to hand over their land to the Indian government for this project especially after the catastrophic meltdown at the Japanese facility in 2011.

France has also asked India to support them militarily given India currently has the largest military manpower in the world, and France is more than happy to continue to provide more fighter jets to counter the threat from China in the Indian Ocean. At the center of the India/China dispute is an area that borders Bhouton, India and China, Doklam. China and Bhouton each claim the area belongs to them and historically, like everything else, it is complicated and unclear/muddy. India claims they are acting on behalf of Bhouton in fighting China. And Bhouton recently declared they no longer were giving India the right to negotiate on their behalf.

But India isn’t quite willing to let it go.

Doklam is a notable trade route that was exploited by the British when they occupied parts of India in the 19th century.

France is gearing itself up for a trade war, but can it compete with China? Easy answer – No.   Instead, what they are doing is ramping up tensions between the two with a military antagonist.

January, Macron was in China wooing president Jinping with promises of ramping up trade between the two and putting on the table French wine, cheese, meats, and the Airbus for which sales have been less than robust.

Economists have conjectured that Macron’s China visit was about deriding Trump and the US as benign and lost trading partners for which he, Macron, was ready, willing and able to fill. But Macron was always a big fan of Xi Jinping, in fact last August, he was adamantly anti-China trade due to the significant deficit France incurred.

The EU trade deficit with China was $200 billion last year. The power that China wields in trade is the weapon of choice.   In 2016, China’s military spending was roughly $146 billion.   Despite increases in spending since 1980, the budget as a percentage of GNP has declined sharply to a mere 1% or about 1/3 of the US although China’s has significantly larger active personnel.

While the US has plundered its funds for the purpose of warring other countries, China has behaved liked a tortoise slowly enriching itself via trade.

If Macron was serious before, or serious now, it is unknown.   Given the derision between the EU and the US, the EU and Russia, and the EU and China, they are left to pick.   And for now, the pickings seem to be slim.

As for the US: The fastest growing import is pharmaceuticals. The main suppliers include: Ireland, India, Germany and France.   But the top $$$ import is electronic equipment from: China, Mexico, Japan, and South Korea leading the market. If our trading ‘allies’ really wanted to inch out China, they would be offering discounts to curb those deficits.   If the US really wanted to hit China, they would put tariffs on Electronic Equipment and Machinery.

FYI:   The value of Mexico’s imports of electronic equipment and machinery to the US is roughly half of that of China – yet Mexico remains rife in poverty…