Iran Protests… Not Black and White

The protests in Iran stem from a centuries long battle between the Sunni Kurds and the Shia Iranians.   It began in the early 4th century and has plagued the region ever since with victories on both sides that see a temporary power struggle placated until the storm rises in the hearts once again and war rages.

Like the Ottoman Empire, the Iranian Empire ruled a far greater swathe of the Persian territory during it’s first pronounced rise around 224 AD.   At the time, the Persian Empire’s greatest foe was the Roman Empire and the subsequent fraction of Sunni-Shia, had yet to occur. They lived relatively harmoniously as their division of faith had yet to be carved. That became a legacy of Muhammad.

Before Muhammad, the “Persians’ had one mortal enemy – the Romans.   However, the internal schism that is waged today is one that was created and fostered nearly 1400 years ago!   To think that we could have any impact on this internal struggle is rather arrogant. Sides are irrelevant. Because it is within their quest for rightness and most likely can never be resolved. It is the Shia vs Sunni war.

The Kurdish rebels are predominantly Sunni, the Revolutionary Guard represents the Shia government. It is that simple and that complicated.

It is not much different than the Catholics and Protestants of Ireland. However, the magnitude of fighting, death and casualties is far, far greater in the Middle eastern front of war. But similar to the Sunni-Shia revolution, the roots of the Irish Catholic vs Irish Protestant division had it’s roots in history – dating some 500 years ago. And it too, was a war of rightness.

Of course, in the midst of the rivalry, hatred and tempestuous anger were the British. Forever instigating, denouncing, and refusing to compromise, to the end of a solution. The hand of the British can be seen in the Middle East today, arming one side over the other, instilling a bitter hatred, and fomenting division.   Other western countries are not much better, cheering on in the bleachers as the implosion continues to devastate entire countries in it’s take-down. And so the waged war of Sunni vs Shia continues unabated and yet cloaked by the media in some opaque protest, rebel, coup, that can always find its core back in the roots.

It isn’t our war. It isn’t our strife. We should have no sides. We should be a bystander. We won’t change anything. We can’t alter history, or even belief. We can attempt to rile, to not good. It is time to refocus on productive gain, and leave the Middle East to their trauma.   And as it has been for the past 1400+ years, it will be tomorrow whatever it will be.

We can’t save Yemen. We have made a muck of Ukraine and Syria. And there are now far more heated battles to fight and wage in the US than we can possibly imagine. As in – The Swamp. It is as though the Middle East has been created as a distraction.   Business news isn’t discussed. Economics isn’t discussed. Tax law, healthcare, the aspects that are the most important are left swept under the proverbial rug.

China has just announced that they are the ‘Keeper of International Order”. And the MSM is silent. That would imply that Communism will ultimately reign. That as we fight the fodder, China will gain traction as the tortoise. And we aren’t paying attention to what is of most importance. While that doesn’t really make China a threat, it makes us – an idiot. There is a difference.

Trump is attempting to focus on issues despite the melee of MSM and given the battle, I would say he is deflecting better than anyone else could.   But making trade with China an issue, does not mean we make China an enemy, it is simply the Art of Negotiation.   Making the Wall a prerogative, does not make us a Nazi state, it makes us actionable and attentive.  To date, over 65 countries have – walls – and more are being constructed each day.

We live in dangerous times, a wall is a safeguard, it lessens the need of a – gun…   It should be embraced.   Illegals account for crime, homelessness, welfare, social instability, jobs, etc…   Clarification – it isn’t about immigrants so much as it is about ‘illegal immigration’ and that subtle distinction is somehow left blank, misconstrued, and purposefully calculated.

EVEN Germany takes it’s immigrants and documents them, creating a surreal aura of legitimacy or legality. That nuance is ignored. They place their immigrants into a camp, document them, give them health checks, and categorize them by age, gender, nationality, and ethnicity. I think it’s called ‘profiling’.

But somehow, when they do it, it is an act of compassion – when the US does it, it is an act of Racism…

Odd, how that works.

BREXIT – Turkey and the Rise of The Ottoman Empire

With all the talk of whether the UK should make a ‘Brexit’ or not – perhaps the reality is that the UK is not following the criteria and doesn’t want more probing into its finances that might reveal some inconsistencies…

David Cameron?

There are five financial rules for maintaining EU membership:   1) HICP Inflation model which states that inflation can not be higher than the value of the three countries with the lowest levels averaged (Greece, Bulgaria and Cyprus have been given a green light despite their levels not complying), 2) Government deficit relative to GDP must not exceed 3%, 3) Government debt to GDP must not exceed 60%, 4) Exchange rate stability of their currency for the previous two years, and 5) Long term interest rates can not be more than 2% higher than the government bond yields of the three countries with the lowest HICP values.

Can the UK even meet this criteria?  Nah.

Government debt to GDP is 90.6%.

Government deficit relative to GDP was 5.7% for 2014-2015.

Inflation rate is 2.2% vs the max allowable as of 2014 of 1.7%.

But they aren’t the only ones who don’t meet the criteria. Exceptions are rampant in order to create a false bubble of membership. Denmark and Sweden have opted out. Switzerland and Norway were never in. Greece is in trouble. Italy is in trouble. A number of countries simply can not meet all the financial criteria and yet they are continually given – a pass. Which makes the criteria – ridiculous at best.

Enter Turkey. Turkey is blackmailing for admission and the EU is bowing and scraping. Is that a membership club you would want to belong to?

Who is Turkey’s biggest supporter in accession to the EU? The UK!   The same UK that wants to leave, as in Brexit, supports Turkey joining. A bit odd. Interestingly, one of the biggest parts of the EU membership accession would allow for visa-free travel. As in refugees, ISIS, etc… How do you stem the flow of refugees from Turkey while opening visa-free travel?   They are not mutually indistinct.

Turkey only has 3% of it’s physical land that is considered a part of southeastern Europe, and this 3% gives it the authority to apply for membership. Currently, Turkey has a population that would make it second to Germany. As a result, they would be entitled to the second largest number of MEP’s in the European Parliament. It is anticipated that their population will exceed that of Germany as of 2020, potentially giving them control of the EU. Arab refugees are the new population in Europe given a falling national population for just about every country in Europe.   So, it isn’t just about ISIS, it is about changing the demographics of Europe.

In addition, admitting Turkey and giving them Parliament advantage, would open the door to the admission of other Islamic nations. And the rise of the Ottoman Empire could once again take hold, not through the backdoor as in ISIS – but right through the front door…

But then there is Cyprus. Cyprus has no land in congruence with Europe and was still granted admission (Cyprus sits ‘below’ Turkey). So if Turkey became an EU member, and a part of Europe, would it follow that any lands adjacent to Turkey could qualify for membership? Turkey is bordered by eight countries; Iraq, Syria, Armenia, Azerbaijani, Iran, Georgia, Greece and Bulgaria.  Ottoman Empire united…

While currently no EU country may have more than 96 MEP’s, opening the door to more accession, changing the face of the Parliament, and applying lax standards and rules with exceptions can easily be seen as the shift toward a Europe that is no longer European.

It becomes easier to understand why the UK would vote for Brexit.

Side note: Turkey is directly North of Israel…